| Course | PUBH 4100 Evaluating Public Health Programs |
|---|---|
| Week | Week 9 |
| Paper type | Findings write-up |
| Length | About 680 words, 5 pages |
| Format | APA 7 student paper |
| School | Walden University |
| Program | BS in Public Health |
| Updated | October 2026 |
Free sample paper for PUBH 4100 Week 9
Results With Their Uncertainty Attached: The Findings Write-Up From a Composite County's Evaluation of Free Swim Lesson Vouchers, Leading With Tables and Saying Plainly What the Figures Do Not Establish
Student Name
Walden University
PUBH 4100: Evaluating Public Health Programs
Instructor Name
Month Day, Year
Results With Their Uncertainty Attached: The Findings Write-Up From a Composite County's Evaluation of Free Swim Lesson Vouchers, Leading With Tables and Saying Plainly What the Figures Do Not Establish
How This Write-Up Is Ordered
Each section presents a table first, then states the result in one or two sentences with its confidence interval, and only then adds interpretation, in a clearly marked paragraph. This order keeps readers from meeting the evaluator's view before the numbers. All figures are composite and come from the summer 2026 evaluation of the swim lesson voucher program.
Finding 1: The Main Pass Rate
Of 820 children tested, 590 met water competence, 72.0%. The confidence interval runs from 68.8% to 74.9%.
Table 1
Water Competence at the Final Lesson Among Children Attending Six or More Lessons
| Measure | Count | Percentage | 95% confidence interval | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Six-plus attenders | 880 | | | | |
| Tested at final lesson | 820 | 93.2% of attenders | | |
| Met all five checklist elements | 590 | 72.0% of tested | 68.8% to 74.9% | |
| Lower bound, if all 60 untested children failed | 590 of 880 | 67.0% | 63.9% to 70.1% | |
Note. Composite figures; Wilson confidence intervals.
Against the Agreed Standard
The point estimate exceeds the 70% threshold, but the interval spans it. Under the precision rule agreed before data collection, the finding carries the label "not clearly met." If the 60 untested children had all failed, the rate would be 67.0%, inside the zone requiring review.
Finding 2: Change From the First Lesson
At the first lesson, 18.5% of children already met the standard; at the final lesson, 72.0% did. Most children who passed at the end could not pass at the start.
Table 2
Water Competence at First and Final Lessons
| Test | Children tested | Met all five elements | Percentage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| First lesson | 802 | 148 | 18.5% | |
| Final lesson | 820 | 590 | 72.0% | |
Note. Composite figures; 802 of the 820 final-test children also had a first-lesson test.
Finding 3: Variation by Pool
Pass rates ranged from 62.8% at pool D to 78.3% at pool A. Pool D also had the largest average class size.
Table 3
Pass Rate by Pool
| Pool | Tested | Passed | Percentage | 95% confidence interval | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 230 | 180 | 78.3% | 72.5% to 83.1% | |
| B | 210 | 157 | 74.8% | 68.5% to 80.2% | |
| C | 200 | 140 | 70.0% | 63.3% to 75.9% | |
| D | 180 | 113 | 62.8% | 55.5% to 69.5% | |
Note. Composite figures; pool E, where sessions were shortened, is reported separately in the delivery brief.
Finding 4: Which Elements Were Hardest
Treading or floating for one minute was passed by 78% of tested children and moving 25 yards by 80%; entering the water, surfacing and exiting were each passed by more than 90%. Water competence frameworks treat staying afloat as a core survival skill (Stallman et al., 2017), so the element with the lowest pass rate is also among the most important.
Finding 5: Scoring Consistency
A second instructor independently scored 82 randomly selected final tests. The two scorers agreed on the overall pass or fail result in 75 of 82 tests, 91.5%, with a Cohen's kappa of 0.79, a level commonly interpreted as substantial agreement (McHugh, 2012).
Interpretation
The program brought most completers to a level of water competence that few had at the start, and scoring was reasonably consistent. Whether it met its standard is unclear because the estimate sits close to 70% and the interval includes values below it. The gap between pool D and the others, together with larger classes there, points to class size as a factor worth testing.
What These Figures Do Not Establish
Nor can they establish the program as the cause of the rise from 18.5% to 72.0%, since children were not compared with others who had no lessons and may have practiced elsewhere. They do not describe children who received vouchers but attended fewer than six lessons. They do not show that children will keep these skills, or that drowning risk fell, even if research elsewhere links lessons in early childhood with fewer deaths in water (Brenner et al., 2009). The attribution argument that follows weighs how much of the change can reasonably be credited to the program.
References
Brenner, R. A., Taneja, G. S., Haynie, D. L., Trumble, A. C., Qian, C., Klinger, R. M., & Klebanoff, M. A. (2009). Association between swimming lessons and drowning in childhood: A case-control study. Archives of Pediatrics & Adolescent Medicine, 163(3), 203-210. https://doi.org/10.1001/archpediatrics.2008.563
McHugh, M. L. (2012). Interrater reliability: The kappa statistic. Biochemia Medica, 22(3), 276-282. https://doi.org/10.11613/BM.2012.031
Stallman, R. K., Moran, K., Quan, L., & Langendorfer, S. (2017). From swimming skill to water competence: Towards a more inclusive drowning prevention future. International Journal of Aquatic Research and Education, 10(2), Article 3. https://doi.org/10.25035/ijare.10.02.03
What the PUBH 4100 Week 9 instructions ask for
Findings assignments ask students to report evaluation results clearly and accurately. Instructors expect tables or figures with counts, percentages and confidence intervals, results stated before interpretation and an explicit comparison with any standard set in advance. Many prompts also ask for subgroup or site results, data quality findings and a passage setting out the limits of what the findings mean. A write-up of a few pages with several tables is typical. Citations support the measures and the interpretation of statistics such as agreement coefficients, and the write-up should apply any precision rule agreed earlier without bending it. Some prompts also ask for findings by site or subgroup, which can reveal delivery problems hidden in an overall rate.
How the PUBH 4100 Week 9 example is put together
The write-up explains its order: tables first, results second, interpretation last. Five findings follow, each with a table or short statement: the main pass rate with its interval and lower bound, applied to the agreed standard; change from the first lesson; variation by pool; the hardest checklist element, linked to water competence research; and scorer agreement with an interpretation source. A marked interpretation section draws cautious conclusions, and a closing section lists four things the figures do not establish, pointing to the attribution argument. Pool-level results are shown with their own confidence intervals, so differences between pools can be judged against their uncertainty.
Where the marks sit in the PUBH 4100 Week 9 rubric
Findings write-ups are judged on accuracy, uncertainty, separation of results from interpretation and honesty about limits. Accuracy credit comes from counts and percentages that match across tables. Uncertainty credit comes from confidence intervals on every key rate and the application of the precision rule. Separation credit comes from placing interpretation in its own labeled section. Honesty credit, often decisive, comes from reporting the standard as not clearly met despite a point estimate above it and from the section on what the figures do not show. Format and references complete the scoring. Write-ups that report a point estimate above the threshold as success, ignoring the interval, usually lose the uncertainty criterion. Linking the lowest-performing pool to its larger classes, while labeling the link as something to test, shows interpretation kept within the evidence.
Common PUBH 4100 Week 9 mistakes, and how to avoid them
Findings sections often blur results and opinions. Present each result with its count, percentage and confidence interval, then state it in a plain sentence. Apply the standard you agreed earlier, including any rule for uncertain results. Report site or subgroup results and data quality checks. Put interpretation in its own section. End with what the figures cannot establish. Our team can write a first findings section from your results table at no charge. Check that every count matches across tables before you write a single sentence of interpretation, and that each percentage uses the right denominator.
Get a PUBH 4100 Week 9 example written to your instructions
Supply the Week 9 prompt and rubric in force and a write-up on the same pattern comes inside 24-48h, the opening request unpriced. Tables come back structured, with every value slot marked. Results held by a running evaluation, or by an employer, are generated nowhere at this desk, and the prose around each slot survives the swap.
More PUBH 4100 papers and BS in Public Health samples
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- PUBH 4100 Week 2: Evaluation Question
- PUBH 4100 Week 3: Data Custody Reply
- PUBH 4100 Week 4: Evidence Standard Memo
- PUBH 4100 Week 5: Delivery Evidence Brief
- PUBH 4100 Week 6: Stakeholder Map
- PUBH 4100 Week 7: Measurement Plan
- PUBH 4100 Week 8: Design Constraint Memo
- PUBH 4100 Week 10: Attribution Argument
- PUBH 4100 Week 11: Evaluation Report
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PUBH 4100 Week 9 questions, answered
Where can I find a free PUBH 4100 Week 9 sample paper?
The complete Week 9 findings write-up can be read here, reporting a swim lesson evaluation with confidence intervals and a section on what the figures do not show.
Why report confidence intervals in evaluation findings?
They show how precise a result is, which determines whether it clearly meets, misses or is uncertain against a standard.
What if a result is above the target but its interval includes values below it?
Report it as not clearly meeting the standard, following a rule agreed in advance.
Why separate results from interpretation?
Readers should see the numbers before the evaluator's view so they can judge the interpretation for themselves.
What does a kappa of 0.79 indicate?
Substantial agreement between two scorers beyond what chance would produce.